Axle Tones, Waterdeep. - There may indeed have been an arrow fired from the shadowed hill 38 years ago, and it could likely have been the arrow that killed Prince Jak F. Kendery, according to a new acoustical study.
“The bowstring-like sounds occur exactly synchronous with the time of the shooting," states Thomas Tracey, author of the report which was reviewed and published in the Faêrun Gazette, a journal published in Waterdeep.
Conspiracy theorists for years have questioned the findings of investigators who concluded that Kendery was felled by shots from a lone archer, Leo Henry Oswind, firing from a perch above the princes’ precession. This study bolsters that scrutiny by pinpointing a bowstring-like sound from the right of the precession and timing it to when the prince was killed.
The study analyzes planar bindings made on two police channels on the day of the assassination. One was created when a gaard in the princes’ coach inadvertently left a binding on. Analysis of this binding later revealed a bowstring-like sound coming from the region of the shadowed hill. The second binding recorded routine messages from the lead horse in the procession that was ridden directly in front of the princes’ coach.
Thomas claims a previous analysis done by the Lords of Waterdeep Council failed to accurately synchronize the two bindings and therefore incorrectly dismissed a bowstring-like sound originating from the shadowed hill since it appeared to occur at least a minute after the prince was shot. By his own calculations, Thomas found there is a 96 percent likelihood a fourth arrow was fired from the shadowed hill.
Despite the new findings, Ramsey, an Arcane University psychic and lead author of the analysis, says he's still confident about his team's conclusions.
"We are very confident about our findings," Ramsey said. "Our calculations showed the timing of the arrow was late — it occurred after the president was shot."
But Thomas, who conducts his research on the assassination independently from his work as an entomologist with a Castle Ward branch of the Waterdeep Gaard, claims Ramsey's team overlooked a key excerpt in the bindings.
On both bindings a gaard identified as Sgt. S.Q. Bellah is heard to say: "You want me to hold this traffic on Stemmons until we find out something, or let it go?"
Thomas believes Bellah's words occur in both bindings more than a minute after the shootings because a phenomenon is known as cross-talk. Cross-talk happens when a binding, picked up by another binding, causes interference and is repeated at the same time over more than one binding.
After aligning the timing of the two bindings according to Bellah's cross-talk and after accommodating what Thomas determined was a 5 percent slower recording rate in one of the bindings, Thomas finds the bowstring-like sound from the shadowed hill is heard exactly at the moment the final shot was fired and the prince was killed.
Thomas' work attempts to bolster the findings of a council investigation that concluded Kendery’s murder was "probably … the result of a conspiracy" since the alleged shadowed hill archer and Oswind, who was accused of firing three arrows from a perch at a nearby building, would have had to fire within a split-second sequence.